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Sun, Oct 18

9:30 AM ET - NFL Net
-Wembley Stadium· International
ML
Spread
O/U
HOU
HOU
(1-4)
+125
+2.5
O 42.5
JAX
JAX
(4-1)
-140
-2.5
U 42.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
HOU
C.J. Stroud
1402 PASS YD6 PASS TD0 INT
JAX
Trevor Lawrence
1174 PASS YD10 PASS TD3 INT

Lines

HOU -108→+124 -7.3 ppJAX -112→-148 +6.8 ppSpread JAX -1.5→-2.5 -1O/U 42.5 · O -110→-112 +0.4 pp
DraftKings

Model

JAX 63.1% WinML Edge +4.4%Predicted Total 43.3Predicted Margin JAX by 4.5

Markets

JAX 57.0% Win View on Kalshi 57.0% $58.4K · K 401K

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JAX win probability · books 56.6% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 63.1
Model 63.1
1:00 PM ET - Fox
-Huntington Bank Field
|57°F
ML
Spread
O/U
BAL
BAL
(4-1)
-162
-3
O 39.5
CLE
CLE
(3-2)
+150
+3
U 39.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
BAL
Derrick Henry
476 RUSH YD7 RUSH TD62 REC YD
Lamar Jackson (QB) Out
CLE
Deshaun Watson
1010 PASS YD7 PASS TD2 INT

Lines

BAL -250→-166 -9.0 ppCLE +205→+140 +8.9 ppSpread CLE +6.5→+3 -3.5O/U 44.5→39.5 -5
DraftKings

Model

BAL 63.4% WinQB change · edge not servedPredicted Total 38.5Predicted Margin BAL by 4.6

Markets

BAL 62.0% Win View on Kalshi 62.0% $22.1K · K 1.0M

Powered by Kalshi Research

BAL win probability · books 60.8% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 63.4
Model 63.4
1:00 PM ET - Fox
-Lucas Oil Stadium
|Dome
ML
Spread
O/U
TEN
TEN
(0-5)
+275
+7
O 44.5
IND
IND
(2-3)
-325
-7
U 44.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
TEN
Cam Ward
896 PASS YD3 PASS TD3 INT
IND
Daniel Jones
1021 PASS YD3 PASS TD4 INT

Lines

TEN +160→+270 -11.4 ppIND -192→-340 +11.5 ppSpread IND -3.5→-7 -3.5O/U 47.5→44.5 -3
DraftKings

Model

IND 67.2% WinML Edge -10.1%Predicted Total 43.8Predicted Margin IND by 6.0

Markets

IND 75.0% Win View on Kalshi 74.0% $32.9K · K 331K

Powered by Kalshi Research

IND win probability · books 73.8% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 67.2
Model 67.2
1:00 PM ET - Fox
-MetLife Stadium
|55°F
ML
Spread
O/U
NO
NO
(1-4)
-110
-1.5
O 45.5
NYG
NYG
(3-1-1)
+100
+1.5
U 45.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
NO
Tyler Shough
1299 PASS YD9 PASS TD5 INT
NYG
Jameis Winston
805 PASS YD6 PASS TD3 INT
Jaxson Dart (QB) Injured reserve

Lines

NO +120→-110 +6.9 ppNYG -142→-110 -6.3 ppSpread NYG -2.5→+1.5 +4O/U 44.5→46.5 +2
DraftKings

Model

NO 59.5% WinML Edge +6.7%Predicted Total 45.7Predicted Margin NO by 3.2

Markets

NO 51.0% Win View on Kalshi 51.0% $252.6K · K 329K

Powered by Kalshi Research

NO win probability · books 50.4% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 59.5
Model 59.5
1:00 PM ET - CBS
-Lincoln Financial Field
|55°F
ML
Spread
O/U
CAR
CAR
(2-2)
-164
-3.5
O 39
PHI
PHI
(2-3)
+155
+3.5
U 39

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals / 2025 totals
CAR
Bryce Young
1268 PASS YD9 PASS TD2 INT
PHI
Tanner McKee
274 PASS YD1 PASS TD1 INT
Jalen Hurts (QB) Out

Lines

CAR +225→-175 +32.9 ppPHI -278→+145 -32.7 ppSpread PHI -6.5→+3.5 +10O/U 43.5→39.5 -4
DraftKings

Model

CAR 61.8% WinML Edge -3.1%Predicted Total 41.9Predicted Margin CAR by 4.0

Markets

CAR 63.0% Win View on Kalshi 63.0% $162.6K · K 2.1M

Powered by Kalshi Research

CAR win probability · books 61.5% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 61.8
Model 61.8
1:00 PM ET - CBS
-Raymond James Stadium
|76°F
ML
Spread
O/U
PIT
PIT
(3-2)
-139
-2.5
O 39
TB
TB
(1-4)
+125
+2.5
U 39

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
PIT
Aaron Rodgers
1234 PASS YD10 PASS TD4 INT
TB
Bucky Irving
406 RUSH YD2 RUSH TD71 REC YD
Baker Mayfield (QB) Out

Lines

PIT +105→-148 +10.9 ppTB -125→+124 -10.9 ppSpread TB -1.5→+2.5 +4O/U 45.5→39.5 -6
DraftKings

Model

PIT 55.6% WinML Edge -4.1%Predicted Total 43.0Predicted Margin PIT by 1.9

Markets

PIT 57.0% Win View on Kalshi 56.0% $10.6K · K 140K

Powered by Kalshi Research

PIT win probability · books 56.6% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 55.6
Model 55.6
1:00 PM ET - CBS
-Gillette Stadium
|50°F
ML
Spread
O/U
NYJ
NYJ
(2-3)
+280
+7.5
O 43.5
NE
NE
(3-2)
-345
-7.5
U 43.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
NYJ
Geno Smith
1084 PASS YD6 PASS TD0 INT
NE
Drake Maye
1228 PASS YD8 PASS TD7 INT

Lines

NYJ +340→+275 +3.9 ppNE -440→-345 -4.0 ppSpread NE -9.5→-7.5 +2O/U 42.5→43.5 +1
DraftKings

Model

NE 74.9% WinML Edge -2.7%Predicted Total 44.4Predicted Margin NE by 9.0

Markets

NE 76.0% Win View on Kalshi 76.0% $1.5K · K 223K

Powered by Kalshi Research

NE win probability · books 74.6% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 74.9
Model 74.9
1:00 PM ET - Fox
-Mercedes-Benz Stadium
|Dome
ML
Spread
O/U
CHI
CHI
(3-2)
-115
-1
O 51.5
ATL
ATL
(2-3)
+100
+1
U 51.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
CHI
Caleb Williams
407 PASS YD2 PASS TD1 INT
ATL
Michael Penix Jr.
719 PASS YD3 PASS TD1 INT

Lines

CHI -155→-118 -6.7 ppATL +130→-102 +7.0 ppSpread ATL +3→+1.5 -1.5O/U 47.5→51.5 +4
DraftKings

Model

CHI 55.5% WinML Edge +2.0%Predicted Total 46.2Predicted Margin CHI by 1.9

Markets

CHI 52.0% Win View on Kalshi 51.0% $55.2K · K 272K

Powered by Kalshi Research

CHI win probability · books 51.4% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 55.5
Model 55.5
4:05 PM ET - Fox
-SoFi Stadium
|Dome
ML
Spread
O/U
ARI
ARI
(1-4)
+600
+12.5
O 51.5
LAR
LAR
(2-3)
-800
-12.5
U 51.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
ARI
Jacoby Brissett
1110 PASS YD9 PASS TD5 INT
LAR
Matthew Stafford
1572 PASS YD9 PASS TD6 INT

Lines

ARI +550→+575 -0.6 ppLAR -800→-850 +0.6 ppSpread LAR -13.5→-12.5 +1O/U 47.5→51.5 +4
DraftKings

Model

LAR 73.2% WinML Edge -16.8%Predicted Total 50.2Predicted Margin LAR by 8.3

Markets

LAR 88.0% Win View on Kalshi 88.0% $16.9K · K 490K

Powered by Kalshi Research

LAR win probability · books 85.7% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 73.2
Model 73.2
4:25 PM ET - CBS
-Allegiant Stadium
|Dome
ML
Spread
O/U
BUF
BUF
(4-1)
-225
-4.5
O 53.5
LV
LV
(3-2)
+200
+4.5
U 53.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
BUF
Josh Allen
1249 PASS YD7 PASS TD4 INT
LV
Kirk Cousins
1269 PASS YD12 PASS TD4 INT

Lines

BUF -265→-230 -2.9 ppLV +215→+190 +2.7 ppSpread LV +6.5→+4.5 -2O/U 47.5→53.5 +6
DraftKings

Model

BUF 79.9% WinML Edge +11.4%Predicted Total 47.8Predicted Margin BUF by 11.2

Markets

BUF 68.0% Win View on Kalshi 68.0% $17.2K · K 321K

Powered by Kalshi Research

BUF win probability · books 67.6% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 79.9
Model 79.9
4:25 PM ET - CBS
-GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
|63°F
ML
Spread
O/U
LAC
LAC
(0-5)
+330
+7.5
O 41
KC
KC
(4-0)
-380
-7.5
U 41

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
LAC
Justin Herbert
937 PASS YD5 PASS TD7 INT
KC
Patrick Mahomes
1037 PASS YD9 PASS TD2 INT

Lines

LAC +120→+330 -22.2 ppKC -142→-425 +22.3 ppSpread KC -2.5→-7.5 -5O/U 46.5→41.5 -5
DraftKings

Model

KC 74.9% WinML Edge -7.6%Predicted Total 42.5Predicted Margin KC by 9.0

Markets

KC 79.0% Win View on Kalshi 78.0% $25.9K · K 579K

Powered by Kalshi Research

KC win probability · books 77.0% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 74.9
Model 74.9
8:20 PM ET - NBC
-Lambeau Field
|55°F
ML
Spread
O/U
DAL
DAL
(2-3)
+101
+1
O 53
GB
GB
(3-2)
-115
-1
U 53

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
DAL
Dak Prescott
1381 PASS YD9 PASS TD3 INT
GB
Jordan Love
1408 PASS YD10 PASS TD3 INT

Lines

DAL +140→-105 +9.6 ppGB -166→-115 -8.9 ppSpread GB -3→-1.5 +1.5O/U 51.5→53.5 +2
DraftKings

Model

GB 69.5% WinML Edge +14.9%Predicted Total 56.3Predicted Margin GB by 6.8

Markets

GB 52.0% Win View on Kalshi 52.0% $49.7K · K 429K

Powered by Kalshi Research

GB win probability · books 51.7% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 69.5
Model 69.5

Mon, Oct 19

8:15 PM ET - ESPN / ABC
-Levi's Stadium
|64°F
ML
Spread
O/U
WAS
WAS
(1-3-1)
+340
+7.5
O 51.5
SF
SF
(5-0)
-400
-7.5
U 51.5

Best US book · as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Top Players2026 totals
WAS
Jayden Daniels
459 PASS YD3 PASS TD0 INT
Marcus Mariota (QB) Doubtful
SF
Brock Purdy
1196 PASS YD13 PASS TD2 INT

Lines

WAS +205→+340 -10.1 ppSF -250→-440 +10.1 ppSpread SF -5.5→-7.5 -2O/U 50.5→51.5 +1
DraftKings

Model

SF 71.0% WinML Edge -10.0%Predicted Total 53.6Predicted Margin SF by 7.4

Markets

SF 78.0% Win View on Kalshi 78.0% $1.1K · K 260K

Powered by Kalshi Research

SF win probability · books 77.4% (10 US), as of Oct 16, 4:46 PM ET

Model 71.0
Model 71.0

Yesterday

Final/OT-Empower Field at Mile High
ML
Spread
O/U
SEA
SEA
(3-3)
14
-155
-2.5
O 40.5
DEN
DEN
(4-2)
17
+130
+2.5
U 40.5
Top Players
SEA
Sam Darnold
278 PASS YD0 PASS TD2 INT
DEN
Bo Nix
107 PASS YD0 PASS TD0 INT