Virginia at SMU
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
Virginia
29.8%
Edge--
SMU
70.2%
Edge--
Spread
Line
SMU -9.5
Predicted Margin
SMU by 8.6
Virginia Cover
+9.5 · 48.7% mkt
SMU Cover
-9.5 · 51.3% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
51.5
Predicted Total
50.4
Over
51.5 · 50.4% mkt
Under
51.5 · 49.6% mkt
Predicted Score
Virginia
20.9
-
SMU
29.5
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET
- Week
- Week 7
- Venue
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Site
- SMU home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- Virginia: ACC · SMU: ACC
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Season matchups
- Week 7 · Virginia at SMU (this game)12:00 PM ET
Virginia this season4-2 (2-1 conf)
- Week 6 · vs SyracuseW 28–25
- Week 5 · at Florida StateL 7–38
- Week 4 · vs DelawareW 42–3
- Week 3 · vs West VirginiaL 27–38
- Week 2 · vs Norfolk StateW 59–3
SMU this season4-1 (2-1 conf)
- Week 5 · vs Boston CollegeW 25–16
- Week 4 · vs Missouri StateW 34–24
- Week 3 · at LouisvilleL 31–41
- Week 2 · vs UC DavisW 56–10
- Week 1 · at Florida StateW 27–24