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UNLV at Air Force

UNLVUNLV4-2 · Mountain West
at
Air ForceAir Force4-1 · Mountain West

Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET

Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities

Moneyline

UNLV
53.8%
Edge--
Air Force
46.2%
Edge--

Spread

Line
Air Force -1.5
Predicted Margin
UNLV by 1.6
UNLV Cover
+1.5 · 51.5% mkt
Air Force Cover
-1.5 · 48.5% mkt

Totals

O/U Line
48.5
Predicted Total
51.2
Over
48.5 · 49.6% mkt
Under
48.5 · 50.4% mkt

Predicted Score

UNLV
26.4
-
Air Force
24.8

CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET
Week
Week 7
Venue
Falcon Stadium
Site
Air Force home game
Conference game
Yes
Conferences
UNLV: Mountain West · Air Force: Mountain West

Kalshi outright winner, ask: UNLV 52.0% · Air Force 49.0% — market price, not a model.

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Season matchups

  • Week 7 · UNLV at Air Force (this game)3:30 PM ET

UNLV this season4-2 (2-0 conf)

  • Week 6 · vs North Dakota StateW 13–7
  • Week 5 · vs CaliforniaW 39–31
  • Week 4 · at AkronW 38–10
  • Week 2 · at North TexasL 6–44
  • Week 1 · at Hawai'iW 21–6

Air Force this season4-1 (2-1 conf)

  • Week 6 · at Northern IllinoisW 28–7
  • Week 5 · vs NavyW 14–9
  • Week 4 · at NevadaW 36–33
  • Week 2 · vs North Dakota StateL 32–38
  • Week 1 · vs DuquesneW 34–0