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San José State at UTEP

San José StateSan José State3-3 · Mountain West
at
UTEPUTEP1-5 · Mountain West

Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET

Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities

Moneyline

San José State
71.2%
Edge--
UTEP
28.8%
Edge--

Spread

Line
UTEP +7
Predicted Margin
San José State by 9.1
San José State Cover
-7 · 50.2% mkt
UTEP Cover
+7 · 49.8% mkt

Totals

O/U Line
46
Predicted Total
52.8
Over
46 · 50.4% mkt
Under
46 · 49.6% mkt

Predicted Score

San José State
30.9
-
UTEP
21.9

CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET
Week
Week 7
Venue
Sun Bowl
Site
UTEP home game
Conference game
Yes
Conferences
San José State: Mountain West · UTEP: Mountain West

Kalshi outright winner, ask: San José State 72.0% · UTEP 30.0% — market price, not a model.

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Season matchups

  • Week 7 · San José State at UTEP (this game)9:00 PM ET

San José State this season3-3 (1-1 conf)

  • Week 6 · vs WyomingL 13–16
  • Week 5 · at Hawai'iW 20–16
  • Week 3 · vs Fresno StateL 10–26
  • Week 2 · vs Cal PolyW 30–20
  • Week 1 · at Eastern MichiganW 27–21

UTEP this season1-5 (0-2 conf)

  • Week 6 · vs NevadaL 13–30
  • Week 5 · at New MexicoL 7–61
  • Week 4 · vs Oregon StateL 7–33
  • Week 3 · at MichiganL 17–52
  • Week 2 · vs Texas SouthernW 51–10