Penn State at Michigan
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
Penn State
46.0%
Edge--
Michigan
54.0%
Edge--
Spread
Line
Michigan -6.5
Predicted Margin
Michigan by 1.6
Penn State Cover
+6.5 · 50.1% mkt
Michigan Cover
-6.5 · 49.9% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
42.5
Predicted Total
45.6
Over
42.5 · 50.3% mkt
Under
42.5 · 49.7% mkt
Predicted Score
Penn State
22.0
-
Michigan
23.6
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET
- Week
- Week 7
- Venue
- Michigan Stadium
- Site
- Michigan home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- Penn State: Big Ten · Michigan: Big Ten
Kalshi outright winner, ask: Penn State 34.0% · Michigan 67.0% — market price, not a model.
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Season matchups
- Week 7 · Penn State at Michigan (this game)3:30 PM ET
Penn State this season3-3 (0-3 conf)
- Week 6 · vs USCL 23–31
- Week 5 · at NorthwesternL 13–34
- Week 4 · vs WisconsinL 20–24
- Week 3 · vs BuffaloW 55–13
- Week 2 · at TempleW 27–9
Michigan this season3-2 (0-2 conf)
- Week 5 · at MinnesotaL 14–20
- Week 4 · vs IowaL 19–20
- Week 3 · vs UTEPW 52–17
- Week 2 · vs OklahomaW 17–10
- Week 1 · vs Western MichiganW 13–12