Northwestern at Michigan State
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
Northwestern
71.3%
Edge--
Michigan State
28.7%
Edge--
Spread
Line
Michigan State +7
Predicted Margin
Northwestern by 9.1
Northwestern Cover
-7 · 50.3% mkt
Michigan State Cover
+7 · 49.7% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
49.5
Predicted Total
48.0
Over
49.5 · 49.9% mkt
Under
49.5 · 50.1% mkt
Predicted Score
Northwestern
28.5
-
Michigan State
19.5
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET
- Week
- Week 7
- Venue
- Spartan Stadium
- Site
- Michigan State home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- Northwestern: Big Ten · Michigan State: Big Ten
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Season matchups
- Week 7 · Northwestern at Michigan State (this game)12:00 PM ET
Northwestern this season4-1 (1-1 conf)
- Week 6 · vs Ball StateW 45–14
- Week 5 · vs Penn StateW 34–13
- Week 4 · at IndianaL 23–29
- Week 3 · vs ColoradoW 41–7
- Week 1 · vs South Dakota StateW 34–18
Michigan State this season2-4 (0-3 conf)
- Week 6 · vs IllinoisL 37–38
- Week 5 · at WisconsinL 3–31
- Week 4 · vs NebraskaL 13–31
- Week 3 · at Notre DameL 10–27
- Week 2 · vs Eastern MichiganW 35–7