North Carolina at Duke
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
North Carolina
30.6%
Edge--
Duke
69.4%
Edge--
Spread
Line
Duke -3
Predicted Margin
Duke by 8.2
North Carolina Cover
+3 · 49.6% mkt
Duke Cover
-3 · 50.4% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
46.5
Predicted Total
49.3
Over
46.5 · 50.4% mkt
Under
46.5 · 49.6% mkt
Predicted Score
North Carolina
20.5
-
Duke
28.8
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET
- Week
- Week 7
- Venue
- Wallace Wade Stadium
- Site
- Duke home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- North Carolina: ACC · Duke: ACC
Kalshi outright winner, ask: North Carolina 43.0% · Duke 58.0% — market price, not a model.
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Season matchups
- Week 7 · North Carolina at Duke (this game)3:30 PM ET
North Carolina this season3-2 (1-1 conf)
- Week 6 · at PittsburghW 21–17
- Week 5 · vs Notre DameL 26–37
- Week 3 · at ClemsonL 20–28
- Week 2 · vs East Tennessee StateW 35–3
- Week 1 · at TCUW 15–10
Duke this season4-1 (1-1 conf)
- Week 6 · at Georgia TechL 25–28
- Week 4 · vs William & MaryW 62–7
- Week 3 · vs StanfordW 35–7
- Week 2 · at IllinoisW 31–27
- Week 1 · vs TulaneW 17–3