New Mexico State at Sam Houston
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
New Mexico State
51.9%
Edge--
Sam Houston
48.1%
Edge--
Spread
Line
Sam Houston +2.5
Predicted Margin
New Mexico State by 0.8
New Mexico State Cover
-2.5 · 50.5% mkt
Sam Houston Cover
+2.5 · 49.5% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
-
Predicted Total
46.7
Over
withheld
Under
withheld
Predicted Score
New Mexico State
23.7
-
Sam Houston
23.0
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET
- Week
- Week 8
- Venue
- Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
- Site
- Sam Houston home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- New Mexico State: Conference USA · Sam Houston: Conference USA
Kalshi outright winner, ask: New Mexico State 55.0% · Sam Houston 45.0% — market price, not a model.
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Season matchups
- Week 8 · New Mexico State at Sam Houston (this game)8:00 PM ET
New Mexico State this season2-4 (1-1 conf)
- Week 6 · at Florida InternationalL 3–22
- Week 5 · vs Western KentuckyW 34–13
- Week 4 · vs New MexicoL 18–42
- Week 2 · at Hawai'iL 19–29
- Week 1 · vs MercyhurstW 51–14
Sam Houston this season1-5 (0-2 conf)
- Week 7 · vs Western KentuckyL 3–16
- Week 6 · at LibertyL 3–35
- Week 4 · at Texas TechL 14–49
- Week 3 · vs NichollsW 59–0
- Week 2 · vs TulsaL 17–23