Nevada at North Dakota State
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
Nevada
18.9%
Edge--
North Dakota State
81.1%
Edge--
Spread
Line
North Dakota State -14.5
Predicted Margin
North Dakota State by 14.3
Nevada Cover
+14.5 · 50.6% mkt
North Dakota State Cover
-14.5 · 49.4% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
42.5
Predicted Total
46.0
Over
42.5 · 50.1% mkt
Under
42.5 · 49.9% mkt
Predicted Score
Nevada
15.8
-
North Dakota State
30.1
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
- Week
- Week 7
- Venue
- Fargodome
- Site
- North Dakota State home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- Nevada: Mountain West · North Dakota State: Mountain West
Kalshi outright winner, ask: Nevada 16.0% · North Dakota State 86.0% — market price, not a model.
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Season matchups
- Week 7 · Nevada at North Dakota State (this game)7:00 PM ET
Nevada this season2-3 (1-1 conf)
- Week 6 · at UTEPW 30–13
- Week 4 · vs Air ForceL 33–36
- Week 3 · at Middle TennesseeL 20–27
- Week 2 · vs Montana StateL 7–20
- Week 1 · vs Western KentuckyW 49–14
North Dakota State this season5-1 (2-1 conf)
- Week 6 · at UNLVL 7–13
- Week 5 · vs WyomingW 28–0
- Week 3 · at Sacramento StateW 31–10
- Week 2 · at Air ForceW 38–32
- Week 1 · vs FordhamW 38–0