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Mississippi State at LSU

Mississippi State#16Mississippi State4-1 · SEC
at
LSU#22LSU4-2 · SEC

Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET

Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities

Moneyline

Mississippi State
24.8%
Edge--
LSU
75.2%
Edge--

Spread

Line
LSU -17.5
Predicted Margin
LSU by 11.1
Mississippi State Cover
+17.5 · 50.7% mkt
LSU Cover
-17.5 · 49.3% mkt

Totals

O/U Line
57
Predicted Total
60.0
Over
57 · 49.5% mkt
Under
57 · 50.5% mkt

Predicted Score

Mississippi State
24.5
-
LSU
35.5

CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET
Week
Week 7
Venue
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Site
LSU home game
Conference game
Yes
Conferences
Mississippi State: SEC · LSU: SEC

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Season matchups

  • Week 7 · Mississippi State at LSU (this game)12:00 PM ET

Mississippi State this season4-1 (2-1 conf)

  • Week 5 · vs AlabamaL 23–56
  • Week 4 · vs MissouriW 31–24
  • Week 3 · at South CarolinaW 41–34
  • Week 2 · at MinnesotaW 38–13
  • Week 1 · vs UL MonroeW 62–13

LSU this season4-2 (1-2 conf)

  • Week 6 · at KentuckyL 34–35
  • Week 5 · vs McNeeseW 63–14
  • Week 4 · vs Texas A&MW 35–6
  • Week 3 · at Ole MissL 24–32
  • Week 2 · vs Louisiana TechW 45–14