Fresno State at San Diego State
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
Fresno State
60.9%
Edge--
San Diego State
39.1%
Edge--
Spread
Line
San Diego State +7.5
Predicted Margin
Fresno State by 4.5
Fresno State Cover
-7.5 · 48.8% mkt
San Diego State Cover
+7.5 · 51.2% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
45.5
Predicted Total
46.8
Over
45.5 · 50.2% mkt
Under
45.5 · 49.8% mkt
Predicted Score
Fresno State
25.6
-
San Diego State
21.1
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET
- Week
- Week 7
- Venue
- Snapdragon Stadium
- Site
- San Diego State home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- Fresno State: Pac-12 · San Diego State: Pac-12
Kalshi outright winner, ask: Fresno State 73.0% · San Diego State 29.0% — market price, not a model.
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Season matchups
- Week 7 · Fresno State at San Diego State (this game)10:30 PM ET
Fresno State this season4-2 (1-1 conf)
- Week 6 · vs Boise StateL 31–38
- Week 5 · at Washington StateW 26–6
- Week 4 · vs RiceW 38–24
- Week 3 · at San José StateW 26–10
- Week 2 · vs Sacramento StateW 49–3
San Diego State this season2-4 (1-1 conf)
- Week 6 · at Oregon StateL 14–66
- Week 5 · vs Texas StateW 31–29
- Week 4 · at ToledoL 16–41
- Week 3 · vs James MadisonL 13–26
- Week 2 · at UCLAL 10–28