Florida State at Miami
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
Florida State
8.5%
Edge--
Miami
91.5%
Edge--
Spread
Line
Miami -20.5
Predicted Margin
Miami by 22.3
Florida State Cover
+20.5 · 49.5% mkt
Miami Cover
-20.5 · 50.5% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
56.5
Predicted Total
53.3
Over
56.5 · 50.1% mkt
Under
56.5 · 49.9% mkt
Predicted Score
Florida State
15.5
-
Miami
37.8
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
- Week
- Week 7
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Site
- Miami home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- Florida State: ACC · Miami: ACC
Kalshi outright winner, ask: Florida State 8.0% · Miami 93.0% — market price, not a model.
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Season matchups
- Week 7 · Florida State at Miami (this game)7:00 PM ET
Florida State this season3-3 (1-2 conf)
- Week 6 · at LouisvilleL 20–44
- Week 5 · vs VirginiaW 38–7
- Week 4 · vs Central ArkansasW 34–7
- Week 3 · at AlabamaL 36–50
- Week 1 · vs SMUL 24–27
Miami this season5-0 (3-0 conf)
- Week 5 · at ClemsonW 41–13
- Week 4 · vs Central MichiganW 52–3
- Week 3 · at Wake ForestW 33–20
- Week 2 · vs Florida A&MW 77–7
- Week 1 · at StanfordW 45–6