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Duke at Virginia

DukeDuke4-1 · ACC
at
VirginiaVirginia4-2 · ACC

Friday, October 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET

Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities

Moneyline

Duke
47.5%
Edge--
Virginia
52.5%
Edge--

Spread

Line
-
Predicted Margin
Virginia by 1.0
Duke Cover
withheld
--
Virginia Cover
withheld
--

Totals

O/U Line
-
Predicted Total
49.9
Over
withheld
--
Under
withheld
--

Predicted Score

Duke
24.4
-
Virginia
25.5

CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 23, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
Week
Week 8
Venue
Scott Stadium
Site
Virginia home game
Conference game
Yes
Conferences
Duke: ACC · Virginia: ACC

Powered by Kalshi Research

Season matchups

  • Week 8 · Duke at Virginia (this game)7:00 PM ET

Duke this season4-1 (1-1 conf)

  • Week 6 · at Georgia TechL 25–28
  • Week 4 · vs William & MaryW 62–7
  • Week 3 · vs StanfordW 35–7
  • Week 2 · at IllinoisW 31–27
  • Week 1 · vs TulaneW 17–3

Next: Week 7 vs North Carolina

Virginia this season4-2 (2-1 conf)

  • Week 6 · vs SyracuseW 28–25
  • Week 5 · at Florida StateL 7–38
  • Week 4 · vs DelawareW 42–3
  • Week 3 · vs West VirginiaL 27–38
  • Week 2 · vs Norfolk StateW 59–3

Next: Week 7 at SMU