California at SMU
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
California
17.2%
Edge--
SMU
82.8%
Edge--
Spread
Line
-
Predicted Margin
SMU by 15.3
California Cover
withheld
--
SMU Cover
withheld
--
Totals
O/U Line
-
Predicted Total
53.9
Over
withheld
--
Under
withheld
--
Predicted Score
California
19.3
-
SMU
34.6
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET
- Week
- Week 8
- Venue
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Site
- SMU home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- California: ACC · SMU: ACC
Kalshi outright winner, ask: California 19.0% · SMU — — market price, not a model.
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Season matchups
- Week 8 · California at SMU (this game)12:00 PM ET
California this season3-3 (2-1 conf)
- Week 6 · vs Virginia TechW 25–20
- Week 5 · at UNLVL 31–39
- Week 4 · vs ClemsonL 10–24
- Week 3 · vs WagnerW 49–7
- Week 2 · at SyracuseW 21–18
Next: Week 7 vs Wake Forest
SMU this season4-1 (2-1 conf)
- Week 5 · vs Boston CollegeW 25–16
- Week 4 · vs Missouri StateW 34–24
- Week 3 · at LouisvilleL 31–41
- Week 2 · vs UC DavisW 56–10
- Week 1 · at Florida StateW 27–24
Next: Week 7 vs Virginia