Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities
Moneyline
Arkansas State
48.3%
Edge--
Southern Miss
51.7%
Edge--
Spread
Line
Southern Miss +6.5
Predicted Margin
Southern Miss by 0.7
Arkansas State Cover
-6.5 · 50.7% mkt
Southern Miss Cover
+6.5 · 49.3% mkt
Totals
O/U Line
62.5
Predicted Total
58.8
Over
62.5 · 49.9% mkt
Under
62.5 · 50.1% mkt
Predicted Score
Arkansas State
29.0
-
Southern Miss
29.7
CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
- Week
- Week 7
- Venue
- M. M. Roberts Stadium
- Site
- Southern Miss home game
- Conference game
- Yes
- Conferences
- Arkansas State: Sun Belt · Southern Miss: Sun Belt
Powered by Kalshi Research
Season matchups
- Week 7 · Arkansas State at Southern Miss (this game)7:00 PM ET
Arkansas State this season2-4 (0-2 conf)
- Week 6 · vs South AlabamaL 49–56
- Week 5 · at LouisianaL 20–23
- Week 4 · vs Kennesaw StateW 17–14
- Week 3 · at TCUL 7–31
- Week 2 · vs West GeorgiaW 52–7
Southern Miss this season1-4 (0-1 conf)
- Week 6 · at TroyL 34–55
- Week 4 · at TulaneL 21–24
- Week 3 · vs UConnL 20–48
- Week 2 · at AuburnL 8–43
- Week 1 · vs Alcorn StateW 49–3