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Alabama at Tennessee

Alabama#6Alabama5-1 · SEC
at
Tennessee#14Tennessee5-1 · SEC

Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET

Model Predictions and Market-Implied Probabilities

Moneyline

Alabama
65.5%
Edge--
Tennessee
34.5%
Edge--

Spread

Line
Tennessee +7.5
Predicted Margin
Alabama by 6.5
Alabama Cover
-7.5 · 50.3% mkt
Tennessee Cover
+7.5 · 49.7% mkt

Totals

O/U Line
51
Predicted Total
57.2
Over
51 · 49.6% mkt
Under
51 · 50.4% mkt

Predicted Score

Alabama
31.8
-
Tennessee
25.4

CFB spread and total probabilities are the de-vigged market consensus at the most-quoted line; the model publishes the moneyline only.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET
Week
Week 7
Venue
Neyland Stadium
Site
Tennessee home game
Conference game
Yes
Conferences
Alabama: SEC · Tennessee: SEC

Kalshi outright winner, ask: Alabama 75.0% · Tennessee 26.0% — market price, not a model.

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Season matchups

  • Week 7 · Alabama at Tennessee (this game)3:30 PM ET

Alabama this season5-1 (3-1 conf)

  • Week 6 · vs GeorgiaL 17–20
  • Week 5 · at Mississippi StateW 56–23
  • Week 4 · vs South CarolinaW 49–18
  • Week 3 · vs Florida StateW 50–36
  • Week 2 · at KentuckyW 45–17

Tennessee this season5-1 (2-1 conf)

  • Week 6 · at ArkansasW 24–17
  • Week 5 · vs AuburnW 24–14
  • Week 4 · vs TexasL 17–20
  • Week 3 · vs Kennesaw StateW 42–9
  • Week 2 · at Georgia TechW 45–24