Falcons at Saints, Monday Night Football: the books see a slight Saints edge
Ten US sportsbooks, vig removed, put New Orleans at 52.3% to win. Market prices only.
Atlanta (1-2) visits New Orleans (1-2) tonight at the Caesars Superdome (8:15 PM ET, ESPN). This note reports where US-regulated sportsbooks price the game. Market prices only. Not a recommendation.
The prices
- Ten US sportsbooks, vig removed, average: New Orleans 52.3% to win (as of 4:45 PM ET).
- Moneyline: Atlanta +102, New Orleans -118.
- Spread: New Orleans -1.5 (-105), Atlanta +1.5 (-105).
- Total: 47.5 (over -110, under -105).
New Orleans is a small favorite on the moneyline and a 1.5-point favorite on the spread. A Saints win probability of 52.3% is a slight lean, not a read.
The quarterbacks (2026 totals)
Atlanta is led by Michael Penix Jr.: 256 passing yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. New Orleans by Tyler Shough: 917 passing yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. The game is indoors, so weather is not a factor.
How to read this
Books is the no-vig win probability averaged across US-regulated sportsbooks. The live card on the Games page carries the current version of every figure here, and the in-game tape will chart the Kalshi price and the sportsbook consensus through the game.
One email a week: calibration, closing-line value and what moved. Unsubscribe any time.